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2020 Chevrolet Bolt
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Article on Forbes aggregating projections from Edmunds.com and KBB.com predicts that the Bolt EUV will retain the highest percentage of its value among EVs after 5 yrs:
  • Average new vehicle retains 40% of value after 5 yrs
  • Chevy Bolt EUV: 66%
  • Chevy Bolt EV: 55%
  • Ford Mustang Mach-E: 52%
  • Audi E-Tron: 47%
  • Tesla Model S: 46%
  • Tesla Model X: 45%
  • Tesla Model 3: 44%
  • Porsche Taycan: 43%
  • MINI Cooper SE: 42%
  • Nissan Leaf: 41%
  • Volvo XC40 Recharge: 39%
  • Tesla Model Y: 35%
  • Hyundai Kona Electric: 27%
  • Kia Niro EV: 22%
I don't know how Edmunds or KBB came up with their projections, but the availability, class, and MSRP of these vehicles vary dramatically. So a Bolt EUV that holds 66% of its value would go from $34k to $22.4k, while a Porsche Taycan that holds 43% of its value would go from $84k to $36k.
 

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2017 Bolt EV
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I paid around Cdn$47K after the BC $5K rebate and before taxes for my 2017 Bolt Premiere. I see 2017 Premiere models selling locally on Craigslist for $37.5. If the actual sale price is $35K, then that's nearly 75% of the original value.

I suspect a lot of that is due to the supply chain issues, and to be honest I'm not really concerned about resale price anyway because my modus operandi is to keep my cars as long as possible and run them into the ground. But I'm still pretty impressed

So far my little blue Bolt is still driving like it was new - better in fact since I got my replacement battery. I'm looking forward to many more years to enjoyment from it.
 

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Nice find @MichBolt 👍

Seems like any vehicle that is originally priced above ~$50,000 seem to lose value rapidly, and especially during the first year.

Resall values are determined by the secondary market. The secondary market is mostly comprised of people who generally are at much lower income levels than the original purchasers. I am basically stating the obvious. They can’t or don’t want to afford a new car extraction from their wallets. So they let other people get new car smell, and want a much lower price. They are also giving up warranty, so they expect the price to be mega-lower to possibly take someone else’s headache.

It makes sense that the used car market is just like the new car market, in that lower priced used vehicles will sell more and faster than the high prices ones. People buy according to their ability to buy.

So the basic rule of supply and demand is bringing the “demand” side to be more willing to pay for depreciated vehicles that started with a lower price anyway. A perfect example of how a basic cheaply priced new car having higher resale values are Hondas, and particularly the Civic. They retain value because they started out as a good value, and also have the reputation for having very low maintenance costs. Toyota also: low MSRP with great low maintenance reputation equals great resale price.

Now, with EVs that don’t actually have any maintenance, it only makes sense that the Bolt is going to fare well in the resale. Starting cheap, retaining more value, as people who have purchased pass their car on and buy another new car.

Starting expensive needs to cost the same as a cheaper car costs new to retain it’s high percentage of resale value. The used car buyer won’t buy it until it’s in their price bracket. So BMWs, M-Bs, and I guess Tesla is also going to have a big resale drop in order to get a budget-minded buyer to pull the trigger.

I have not seen this so far with Tesla. The demand for new and the wait time means some people will decide to go used on the car they are looking for. So the demand will move the resale price up the ladder accordingly.

So these projections appear to be a Forbes prediction that the robust used market is going to return to the normal reality of high price vehicles lose resale faster than combination lower priced and popular models do, as it typically is.

So that is what makes sense about their prediction to me. That and I really like my Bolt, so it makes perfect sense that other people will also. The first Bolt I purchased was used. I was very glad that I did, and would recommend it to anyone. That’s another reason for the popularity equaling the best resale. Word of mouth is a tremendous sale feature.
 

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Article on Forbes aggregating projections from Edmunds.com and KBB.com predicts that the Bolt EUV will retain the highest percentage of its value among EVs after 5 yrs:
  • Average new vehicle retains 40% of value after 5 yrs
  • Chevy Bolt EUV: 66%
  • Chevy Bolt EV: 55%
  • Ford Mustang Mach-E: 52%
  • Audi E-Tron: 47%
  • Tesla Model S: 46%
  • Tesla Model X: 45%
  • Tesla Model 3: 44%
  • Porsche Taycan: 43%
  • MINI Cooper SE: 42%
  • Nissan Leaf: 41%
  • Volvo XC40 Recharge: 39%
  • Tesla Model Y: 35%
  • Hyundai Kona Electric: 27%
  • Kia Niro EV: 22%
I don't know how Edmunds or KBB came up with their projections, but the availability, class, and MSRP of these vehicles vary dramatically. So a Bolt EUV that holds 66% of its value would go from $34k to $22.4k, while a Porsche Taycan that holds 43% of its value would go from $84k to $36k.
Poor Kia Niro. My Range Rover had the same value retention after TEN years. I suspect the Kia won't actually fare that poorly...
 

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2022 Bolt EUV Premier Launch Edition
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This show that the Bolt EUV has a lot of intrinsic value built into the vehicle. There's a lot of value left after it's been driven for a while. Perhaps the experts are seeing what the consumers are experiencing.
 

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I think part of the Niro/Kona/leaf future valuations will be because the used market will value them the same as or worse than a bolt. But they have not reduced selling price today as the bolt has. So I think I saw 39995 for a Niro round number to 25 percent at 10000. Bolt 28000 with 46 percent retained is about the same number
 

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After ordering my 3rd EV, a family member started inquiring about me handing down my 2018 Bolt.
My wife said to just give it away and help out. She said we don’t need 3 EVs.
The values of my cars are non existent. People in my family just takes them off my hands when I get a newer one.
 

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After ordering my 3rd EV, a family member started inquiring about me handing down my 2018 Bolt.
My wife said to just give it away and help out. She said we don’t need 3 EVs.
The values of my cars are non existent. People in my family just takes them off my hands when I get a newer one.
Adopt me, please?
 

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This is an incredibly bad projection. Take these "opinions" with a grain of salt as there are bias due to payments by companies. I sold my Tesla for much more money than when I paid for it 3 years ago. That is a factual scenario

My prediction is that the Bolt EUV at MSRP will be worth 50% in 5 years. For those who paid dealer markups and other "fees" will not fare well at all. Antiquated battery pouch technology, slow level 3 charging, low 247 mile capacity, and limited technology like no lane centering will play a major factor in resale. Due to dealership huge markups and lack of current Fed tax credit, it doe not look like a "good buy". Current pricing has pushed the Bolt out of the good second car area
 

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Agree with much of what you said above, but completely disagree with the following:
Antiquated battery pouch technology, slow level 3 charging, low 247 mile capacity, and limited technology like no lane centering will play a major factor in resale.
A sufficiently large majority of those buying a used EV will only be concerned with lowest possible cost for local use. Most won't know or care about any of the techno-negatives you posited. All they'll want to know is how much it costs to buy and how much it will cost to operate.

Clear example of this is last time I checked Kelly Blue Book resale value, there was no deduction for the Bolts without DCFC.

jack vines
 

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Agree with much of what you said above, but completely disagree with the following:A sufficiently large majority of those buying a used EV will only be concerned with lowest possible cost for local use. Most won't know or care about any of the techno-negatives you posited. All they'll want to know is how much it costs to buy and how much it will cost to operate.

Clear example of this is last time I checked Kelly Blue Book resale value, there was no deduction for the Bolts without DCFC.

jack vines
I understand your point. My thought of buying the Bolt aligns with what you said.

This EV is the lowest common denominator. It is not the quickest, prettiest, fastest in charging, most comfortable, and has the most tech. What it did have, however, was a great selling price. Unfortunately, the savings benefit being dampened by dealerships. I still have hope, however. I am keeping an eye out for looking best possible savings.

I don't know what GM may due on 1/4/2023. All incentives plus $6300 discount end on 1/3/2023. They may extend it or possibly lower the discount due to high demand and most likely a fed tax credit of $3750.
 
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