This is true when in California. Not in Canada, in winter. Driving a Tesla in winter here means the estimated % SOC at arrival is 15-20% more optimistic than the reality. No need to drive like crazy or see a difference in temperature between the start and the end of the trip. Although this could very well happen and Tesla GOM sucks big time like every one else in these conditions.
Tesla literally uses temperature data and even change of elevation in the data used to compute the range and SOC on arrival at a destination.
This article dates back to 2019 and already talks about it. For more current info, Tesla's owner's manual
goes into quite a bit of detail as to what goes into the calculations.
In short, Tesla is using environmental data to inform how it calculates range and predicted SOC, so those living in super cold climates, like in Canada, will see that incorporated in the data presented to them with very strong accuracy.
Do not get me wrong, I'm not a Tesla fan boy who thinks that Elon does no wrong (because yes, I know that's what will be interpreted), but I do think range calculations and accuracy between Tesla and the rest of the EV market are two different worlds entirely. After 5 years in a Bolt, and after skepticism when I took delivery of my Model Y, I'm massively impressed with the technology in this vehicle and how much simpler it makes EV adoption for a novice (here I'm specifically referring to accuracy of range calculations and onboard navigation including charging stops).
For those who don't wish to click on the Tesla URL:
" When navigating to a destination, Model 3 helps you anticipate your charging needs by calculating the amount of energy that remains when you reach your destination. When navigating, the map displays this calculation next to the Battery icon on the turn-by-turn direction list (see
Navigating to a Destination). When the turn-by-turn direction list is compressed, touch the top of the list to expand it.
The calculation that predicts how much energy you will use is an estimate based on driving style (predicted speed, etc.) and environmental factors (elevation changes, wind speed and direction, ambient and forecasted temperatures, air density and humidity, etc.). As you drive, Model 3 continuously learns how much energy it uses, resulting in improved accuracy over time. It is important to note that Model 3 predicts energy usage based on the driving style of the individual vehicle. For example, if you drive aggressively for a period of time, future range predictions will assume higher consumption. Also, if you purchase a used Tesla vehicle, it is recommended that you perform a factory reset (Controls > Service > Factory Reset) to ensure the predicted energy is as accurate as possible."